MikeBolen.com

June 26, 2008

Gas cost a threat to suburban apartment owners

Filed under: Multifamily — Mike Bolen @ 11:36 pm

Nationwide, home prices in neighborhoods with long commutes and no public transportation are falling faster than prices in communities closer to cities, according to a study by Joseph Cortright, an economist at Impresa Consulting. For example, his study found that prices in distant suburbs of Tampa fell 14 percent in the last 12 months, versus a 9 percent drop in areas nearer the city. “The decline in almost every case is worse in the suburbs and exurbs than it is in close-in neighborhoods because transportation costs are so much more of a factor,” says Cortright

In the years ahead, concerns over sprawl, traffic congestion and the likelihood of higher energy prices will accentuate the desirability of both suburban town centers and more convenient urban living environments such as Napa, Santa Rosa, San Rafael, San Francisco and the like. Extended periods of high fuel prices will end fringe suburban growth and kill demand for apartments with outsized commutes…suburban apartment developers beware.

Keep in mind our entire economy reflects the cost of energy: the cars we drive, the homes we occupy, the kinds of factories we have and the equipment in them, expect large changes in all of these things. The national average price of regular gasoline topped $4.00 a gallon for the first time, AAA, the largest U.S. motoring club, reported yesterday. “At $4 per gallon gas, $125 per barrel oil and $10 per million Btu natural gas, a lot of activity becomes uneconomical,” says Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Economy.com in West Chester, Pennsylvania.

When you factor in high cost transportation, housing far from urban centers becomes much more expensive, and in many cases more expensive than housing in or near a downtown center. Bottom line sell apartment holdings in far flung suburbs and rural locations if it takes 10 minutes or more to reach vital services your apartment asset will decline in value over the next 5 years along with a rise in vacancy and a reduction in gross income.

BAM! BAM! BAM! I am pounding the table, buy apartments in close proximity to downtown or town center areas. There are many offerings on the table at very attractive prices across the bay area.

 Looking to buy?

June 13, 2008

Schellville Station In Sonoma What A Buy

Filed under: Foreclosure — Mike Bolen @ 12:35 pm
Carol Lloyd wrote an interesting article for the San Francisco Chronicle about a listing my collegue Armando Lincoln is currently offering for sale Schellville Station  what an amazing property with a tenant already in place.
Take a chance on commercial property
When Eddie Heintz visited the 6,000-square-foot structure on Carneros Highway (Highway 12) last spring, the property was rough, but its potential seemed clear and easily within reach. “The location was perfectly situated between San Francisco and Napa and there was lots of traffic,” Heintz told me. “It’s near Infineon Raceway, as well as only about four miles from Sonoma. That’s why I jumped on it.” Instead of wine, he would specialize in beer. He called it Schellville Station.
The plan was to begin as a deli with a general store of local foods, add a beer garden/bar the following year and finally build out a barbecue shack that would offer comfort food and home-smoked meats. But when the landlord/partner failed to deposit his contribution to the project, Heintz grew nervous. The change in ownership wiped out the validity of Heintz’ lease.
“I feel really bad for Eddie,” said Armando Lincoln, the commercial agent currently representing the owners. “I don’t know what else to say.” Click HERE to see the listing.
Armando Linoln can be reached at 707-299-9779 or Armando@CREHQ.com
H

June 12, 2008

Northbay Multifamily Apartment Building Sales Report

Filed under: Multifamily, Napa — Mike Bolen @ 3:45 pm

Multifamily apartment sales so far in June 2008 for the entire San Francisco North Bay include:

  • 6 Unit, 2 West Court Sausalito - $1,200,00
  • 11 Unit, 504 Matheson Street Healdsburg - $1,680,000 

Word on the street says the 15 Unit 680 Lincoln street listing offered at $1,778,000 is under contract. My guess this property is under contract far below the asking price. The other interesting napa multifamily property to be put under contract is 6778 Yount Street in Yountville this property consists of 8 units offered at an astounding $1,950,000 or $243,750 per unit. I love Yountville the atmosphere, restauarants and quaint inns are something to long for but these ammenities certainly do not justify $243,750 per unit. And with a reported gross income of only $120,000 I believe an appraiser would have a hard time explaining this price to the bank.

Consider my off market property in downtown Napa consisting of 9 units offered for $900,000 with a gross income of $109,000 and naturally downtown Napa has wind on it’s back with appreciation potential far outstripping that of Yountville over the next 5 years.

There are fabulous values in this market. H

June 7, 2008

Napa Multifamily Update

Filed under: Multifamily, Napa — Mike Bolen @ 9:23 pm
1711 Lincoln Avenue has been placed back on the market. Property was in contract as I pointed out in my previous article. 1711 Lincoln was the 10 family property in Napa offered at 1,099,000. Interestingly the property also showed up on the courthouse notice of default list pending foreclosure. This almost certainly will put downward pressure on multifamily apartment values should this property be sold either in foreclosure or sold below the current asking price.
Currently their are five multifamily apartment buildings in various stages of foreclosure in Napa. Prices are decling, rents are going up, an the drive by media says the worst is yet to come. Actually there has never been higher rents in Napa county for apartments then right now. Now is the time to buy multifamily apartments in Napa county.
If you would like to learn about Napa Valley multifamily apartments offered for sale through foreclosure, pre-foreclosure currently listed or off market properties consult with the most knowledgable team in Napa. A sample of current inventory:
  • 9 Units $900,000-Napa   
  • 6 Units 1/2 acre $1,800,000 - St Helena
  • 7 Units zoned OFC/RTL/MF $1,250,000 - Napa
  • 38 Units 4,940,000 - Napa
  • 2 Units $315,000 - Napa
  • 2 Units $299,000 - Napa (New Construction)

June 3, 2008

Napa County May 2008 Multifamily Apartment Sales

Filed under: Multifamily — Mike Bolen @ 9:57 pm

The Napa County May 2008 multifamily apartment sales market was dismal. May was the weakest month on record for apartment sales in Napa county for 2008. We witnessed a paltry 2 sales one in downtown Napa of a four family on Brown street and the other deep in the vines of Calistoga with a duplex sale.  

 

May 2008 average unit sale price- $151,250

1206 Hazel - $153,750 per unit

344 Brown- $148,750 per unit

 

Based on increased buyer calls, more showings, and some interest from my longtime investor clients my outlook for the June 2008 Multifamily apartment market is much better. I think we will see triple the sales activity of May although expect prices to erode further. We are still waiting for the closing of 1711 Lincoln this is the large 10 family offered at 1,099,000 that went into contract May 8th, 2008.

 

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